Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.137067 0.200160 0.273003 0.361088 0.462768 0.574791 0.705987
2026-01-25 0.056765 0.128894 0.228877 0.365224 0.536908 0.738615 0.987083
2026-02-01 0.017913 0.077865 0.180937 0.337744 0.548975 0.808501 1.138735
2026-02-08 0.001719 0.040837 0.136681 0.302738 0.542344 0.849222 1.250945
2026-02-15 NaN 0.023190 0.114223 0.291683 0.561825 0.918311 1.394124
2026-02-22 NaN 0.014724 0.104671 0.297654 0.602943 1.014045 1.569778
2026-03-01 NaN 0.007537 0.091647 0.294396 0.628738 1.088432 1.717802
2026-03-08 NaN 0.002088 0.073797 0.277925 0.632217 1.131289 1.824465
2026-03-15 NaN 0.001485 0.077359 0.303055 0.699579 1.261250 2.043894
2026-03-22 NaN 0.001056 0.081232 0.328791 0.768077 1.393106 2.266289
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000392 0.079915 0.343117 0.818462 1.500095 2.456623
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000409 0.087695 0.377417 0.901022 1.652087 2.706232
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000183 0.090612 0.402697 0.972050 1.792088 2.945723
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.083849 0.405841 1.007779 1.883827 3.123511
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.065117 0.377006 0.989054 1.897688 3.197679
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.045881 0.339707 0.952627 1.884199 3.233957
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.037338 0.327946 0.958208 1.929808 3.348075
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.034948 0.334306 0.995630 2.021775 3.524725
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.030050 0.330835 1.014850 2.086838 3.664986
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.022226 0.313265 1.006965 2.111155 3.749513
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.025509 0.340059 1.082212 2.259635 4.003770
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.028972 0.367435 1.158604 2.409967 4.260786
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.029413 0.382648 1.212302 2.526598 4.472034